Extra: Election
Rogers, like many candidates from across the nation, is hitting the political circuit spread out this week across New York City.
10:26 AM EDT on Tuesday, August 31, 2004
NEW YORK -- Dave Rogers is in Harlem, rolling the rock up the
hill again.
The Republican congressional candidate from Portsmouth emerges from a
friend's down-at-the-heels car, straightens his suit jacket and mounts
the stairs to a grand old temple of a building on upper Fifth Avenue.
"Dave, Dave, Dave!" exclaims his host, Niger Innis of the Congress of
Racial Equality, who ushers him beneath the banner declaring, "CORE
Welcomes GOP to Harlem."
Inside, over beef kabobs and fat shrimp, Rogers opens the next round in
the unending struggle -- for money, for publicity, for high-powered
contacts -- that is every long-shot candidate's run for office.
At least this candidate has the name-brand military background and the
famous opponent to use as a handy verbal calling card for hawking his
wares at the giant political trade show known as the Republican National
Convention.
"Dave Rogers, Navy SEAL running against Patrick Kennedy," he says,
thrusting out his right hand to a stranger at the venerable civil-rights
group's reception, and another potentially profitable campaign
conversation is launched.
The scene from that reception on Rogers' first day at the convention was
repeated again and again -- East Side, West Side, all around the town
that is for this week the center of the Republican universe.
The national spotlight is trained, of course, on President Bush's
reelection campaign, but the one-stop-shopping facet of the convention
is crucial for hordes of office-seekers, consultants, pollsters,
lobbyists and other politicos from city council to Congress.
Rogers has a modest role in a larger, long-running drama in the House of
Representatives. It has been a decade since then-Rep. Newt Gingrich,
R-Ga., made history by sweeping the Republicans to majority control for
the first time in half a century. Yet control of the House still hangs
by a relative handful of seats.
Once more, the Democrats vow to seize back majority control, which would
take a net gain of only a dozen or so seats, depending on how the
counting is done. But that seems a very tall order to most observers,
for a variety of reasons.
"The Republicans still look very solid for retaining their majority,"
said Amy Walter, a House campaign analyst for Washington's independent
Cook Political Report.
"We are not a targeted race," Rogers acknowledged flatly, meaning that
Republican leadership doesn't think enough of his chances to invest
heavily in the race for Rhode Island's first congressional district.
That reality was reflected in the fact that Rogers missed out on one of
the most useful perquisites of the national political convention -- the
precious moment of stage time traditionally given to a handful of the
hundreds of candidates for various high offices.
But Rogers, who works as a technical manager advising the petroleum
industry, looks on the bright side. "We're one of the few national races
because everybody knows who my opponent is," he explained at another
reception -- this one for moderate Republicans at The Sky Club, an
exclusive aerie atop Park Avenue's Met Life Building that has
spectacular views of the Manhattan skyline.
Rogers also has a proven ability to raise money. As a political newcomer
in 2002, Rogers raised and spent about $2 million to win a tough
three-way Republican primary and then challenge Kennedy. But Rogers
raised a large proportion of his money through direct-mail solicitation,
which is a costly way to bring in campaign cash.
"Raising a lot of direct-mail money is not hard to do when you're
running against a guy whose last name is 'Kennedy,' " said Walter,
alluding to the fact that the Kennedy name is a symbol of liberalism
that attracts campaign dollars from conservative donors.
Walter said Rogers faces a hard climb since four years have elapsed
since Kennedy's term as chairman of the House campaign committee, a job
that took him away from Rhode Island and into such controversies as the
shoving of a Los Angeles airport security agent.
Rogers said he will pound at the charge that Kennedy supported
authorizing the war in Iraq strictly for political reasons -- to which
Kennedy chief of staff Sean Richardson responded, "The congressman did
not play politics with war."
Still, "Navy SEAL running against Patrick Kennedy" is a good calling
card in this town this week, and Dave Rogers is playing it for all it's
worth.
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