Business
03:14 PM EDT on Tuesday, April 5, 2005
Frank the Moderator: Gasoline prices in Rhode Island have leaped
above $2 a gallon and are on the brink or reaching a new record. While
consumers dig deeper, the energy companies are posting big profits. What's
a consumer to do? Chat online with Business staff writer Timothy C.
Barmann about rising gasoline prices on Tuesday at 2 p.m.
Frank the Moderator: Hey all -- please submit your questions for
Tim , he'll log in around 2 to start posting responses.
what a gas: Tim -- I understand that the cost of living continues
to rise, and making ends meet is difficult for most folks. But don't you
think that instead of fretting over the price of gas, we should find
other solutions to our transportation problems. I feel we should work on
better fuels; city and communities that are smartly planned; and better
public transportation in all cities. I don't care if gas goes to 5
dollars a gallon, I want smart cities and responsible citizens. Thanks
Tim
Samdaddy: Can you explain the economic impact of gas prices
beyond what it means to the everyday commuter?
zoldano: Tim, does hunting around for gas that is 2 or 3 cents
cheaper per gallon really make a difference in the long run? What *is*
the most effective way to save money on gasoline? Or shd we all just
give up coffee?
ld: Tim: I'm most concerned about the rising cost of fuel oil. We
use more energy in the winter in the Northeast and we're at the end of
pipleines and supply routes. Shouldn't we be looking for renewable
sources and more supply domestically and from abroad?
FatJack: Tim, I have a long commute. These high prices are
killing me. Is it time to shop for a hybrid car, or am I likely to spend
more for the car than I'll save in gas.
Frank the Moderator: Tim -- what is the government saying about
the high gas prices?
Samdaddy: $1.12!? Where was that?
Samdaddy: Does the average station owner really watch futures
trading when setting gasoline prices? Or is the price much more
corporately driven?
Mary-Warwick: Hi Tim. Does gas consumption decline when gas
prices increase? Or do we guzzle the same amount no matter what the
price is at the gas pump?
Frank the Moderator: In your story, you write that the new summer
forecast will be released on Thursday. Are they (I believe the Energy
Information Administration) going to predict high summer gas prices.
Frank the Moderator: Talk a little on what you and The Journal
are planning on to follow the gas prices story.
Frank the Moderator: How can I find the best gas prices around
town?
zoldano: Tim, I'd really like it if you could come up with some
kind of gasoline calculator, like that one you did recently to help
calculate how much we spend on fuel oil. Is that in the cards?
Frank the Moderator: Thanks Tim for offering some thoughts and
tips on these high gas prices.
Timothy Barmann: Hi - I agree that we should continue to
work on better fuels, such as biodiesel, made from - believe it or not -
restaurant grease, and ethanol, made from corn. It will take a
significant amount of time and investment for these fuels to gain wider
use. It's happening, but rather slowly at the moment. Better public
transportation systems would certainly help cut back on fuel
consumption. However, transit systems in some places, included Rhode
Island, don't seem to be nearly as widely used as they could be. This is
not my area of expertise, but I understand that the fares RIPTA charges
are well below the actual cost of bus service. It would be hard to get
more funding to expand RIPTA when people today don't take full advantage
of it.
Timothy Barmann
: I'm not sure I understand your question exactly. Perhaps you are
refering to the effects of high gasoline prices on other aspects of the
economy. That's a difficult question to answer. I know that economists
are watching what's happening to gas prices and the ripple effect they
might be having. Few alarms have been sounded so far, and one of the
reasons is that our economy relies less on oil than it did, say, in the
1970s. But higher gas prices will, sooner or later, translate into
increases in other things -- air fares, groceries (higher shipping
costs), plastics, and many other things.
Timothy Barmann: Obviously, it depends on how
much you drive, and how far you have to go to find cheaper gas.
One
thing you might consider is buying gasoline just across the border
Massachusetts, where gasoline is often cheaper. That's mainly because of
the lower state tax on gas there, as opposed to RI. RI has one of the
highest gas taxes in the country. And don't discount how much you might
be able to save by shopping around. AAA and the state Energy Office
routinely find a price difference of 25 cents between the highest price
and the lowest price at local stations. (Yesterday, AAA found a high of
$2.25 and a low of $1.12 in RI.)
Timothy
Barmann: We do use an awful lot of heating oil -- about 80 percent
of all heating oil used in the U.S. is consumed in New England. About 41
percent of RI households use heating oil. I agree that we should be
looking to renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, as well as
conservation. But all of these require time and money. Alternative
sources of energy are often more expensive than energy produced
traditionally with oil and gas. Without a change in public policy, and
perhaps monetary incentives for choosing green power, few people will
want (or be able to) spend the extra money to get it.
Timothy Barmann: I
talked to a friend the other day who just ordered a new Toyota Prius. He
said his calculations show that even though he'll pay more for the car
up front, the lifetime cost of the car will be about the same as a
gas-only car. There are some new developments in hybrid cars soon to
come. Some folks have "hacked" the Toyota Prius to add more batteries
and provide a way to charge them up by plugging them in. They claim
their prototypes can get the equivalent of 180 mpg. The savings in
gasoline costs still, by far, exceed the extra you have to pay in
electricity costs, according to these entrepreneurs.
Timothy Barmann: In terms of changing
public policy and offering a solution, the government has said very
little. President Bush has, in the past, declined to release oil from
the nation's Stategic Petroleum Reserve. Some experts believe that doing
so could reduce oil and eventually gasoline prices. However, that is
only a short-term solution. It doesn't address the core issue of rising
demand against the backdrop of limited production and refinery capacity.
Timothy Barmann:
Yeah, I'd like to know too. That was a typo. :) A low of $2.12 a gallon.
Timothy Barmann: The local gas station
owners I have spoken to absolutely watch the price of gasoline very
closely. Some have trading screens to help them monitor even more
closely. But they have little control over gasoline prices. They have to
pay whatever the wholesale price is at the time of their delivery. Many
station owners say that the high prices hurt their profit margins.
Prices really aren't corporate driven - they are based on market prices,
much like stock prices are set by trading on the stock exchange.
Timothy Barmann: I asked that very
question to an energy analyst at the government's Energy Information
Administration yesterday. He said that so far, it appears that gas
prices have not put a dent in consumption. The Goldman Sachs report,
which I quoted from in my story, suggested that for Americans to change
their driving and car-buying behavior, gasoline would have to hit $4 a
gallon. The reason, they said, is because gasoline is still a relatively
small percentage of consumer spending. It's far below what it was back
in the 1970s.
Timothy Barmann: As much as a tried to sweet-talk the analysts I spoke to
at the Energy Information Administration, they wouldn't tell me what
their forecast for this summer was going to be. In fact, they said it
was still in flux because of the recent spike in crude oil prices. I
simply don't have the answer for you.
Timothy Barmann
: What do you think we should do?
Timothy Barmann: What sort
of stories do you think we should be doing?
Timothy Barmann: There's a Web site called
gasbuddy.com which allows people to post the price of gasoline from their
neighborhood gas stations. The site does have a section for Rhode Island
prices. I just checked, and the lowest price listed was a Hess station
in West Warwick at $2.02 a gallon. That was yesterday morning, so the
price may have gone up since then. Keep in mind that the prices are
posted by the site's visitors, so they may not be accurate. Also, I
often try to buy gas at a station that offers a discount on a particular
day of the week.
Timothy Barmann: Great idea. That would be fun to do. Thanks for the
suggestion.
And thanks to everyone who stopped in.
|
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